Sparkling-Polarisation
0xb3b811189c1d2c89039f0edb42427c576a94d502
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-347.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
3051 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1340 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.37
- BONZI
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
828 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-62.52
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
547 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-53.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
383 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
345 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6AM ET
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7AM ET
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$8.28Jan 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$7.13Jan 18, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$27.41Jan 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.30Jan 18, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.10Jan 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$8.29Jan 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$15.00Jan 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$27.62Jan 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie$1.00Jan 18, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.