Fancy-Vaulting
0xb3c60862aa408a753ee303a11c05db4da780d8fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
4375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
3573 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-65.64
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
3254 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-470.78
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
3252 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-610.16
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
2004 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-651.46
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?
1704 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-104.36
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?
1441 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-362.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$95.70Mar 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$314.76Feb 26, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?$21.54Feb 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.13Feb 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another coalition form the next German Government?$71.72Feb 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?$218.27Feb 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.10Feb 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$20.00Feb 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.34Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$5.39Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.18Feb 22, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.20Feb 22, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $26.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.