Pleased-Scarecrow
0xb3cd8d65e407aec07946d0282ccb4d1dff4fd566
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-435.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3587 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-122.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1421 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-84.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET
735 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-136.85
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET
384 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-92.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$25.55Mar 1, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$72.00Mar 1, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$71.42Mar 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$100.00Feb 28, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$24.00Feb 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$29.00Feb 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET$92.00Jan 11, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET$45.10Jan 11, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET$91.76Jan 11, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$458.89Jan 4, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$34.00Jan 4, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.90Jan 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.80Jan 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.44Jan 4, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$120.00Jan 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$7.90Jan 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$8.20Jan 4, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $55.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".