Frivolous-Layout
0xb3cfd74eae3fc7fc9d83f329dfce0974d2f67140
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$36.28
Total PnL
$0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$12.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.43
$-0.07
- NO
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$4.34
$0.02
- NO
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
4 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$3.81
$0.27
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.50Sep 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$5.50Sep 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$12.00Sep 19, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.17Sep 19, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.21Sep 19, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.62Sep 19, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.11Sep 19, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.2KJul 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.2KJul 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.4KJul 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.4KJul 27, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$1.45Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.81Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?$2.03Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.13Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?$2.19Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$2.68Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.74Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$3.01Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$3.05Jul 27, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $481.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.