White-Hope
0xb3d66d7aae77076caf4470c3019638b2f97c665e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$57.39
Total PnL
$-422.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$57.39
$-42.61
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?
785 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Alexander Zverev reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$339.48Sep 22, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$113.90Sep 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$300.00Aug 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$100.00Aug 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$10.00Aug 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?$100.00Jul 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?$10.00Jul 26, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?$20.00Jul 26, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$175.44Jul 26, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$53.19Jul 26, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?$20.00Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$50.00Jul 25, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$20.00Jun 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$100.00Jun 2, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before June?$149.25Jun 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$493.15Jun 1, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?$100.00May 29, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$100.00May 26, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?$151.52May 21, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in May?$400.00May 21, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $137.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.