Lawful-Scotch
0xb3d6dbc57fba4312bad1ab0950d4dbed72f3ad2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$125.81
Total PnL
$-8.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
126 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.81
$0.69
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on January 14?
4930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$125.12May 11, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$3.15May 11, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$3.61May 11, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$48.10May 11, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$72.34May 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$1.48Apr 20, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$72.27Apr 20, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$71.79Apr 20, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$71.72Apr 16, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12?$71.71Apr 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12?$71.64Apr 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$2.80Apr 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.48Apr 8, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 March 30-April 5?$73.43Apr 6, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 March 30-April 5?$73.23Apr 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2.74Apr 2, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$2.79Apr 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.16Apr 2, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$47.31Apr 2, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?$2.97Apr 1, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $63.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.