Klutzy-Initialise
0xb3e54fabea0ee58ebc5a1bcfaecd90c56ef59b9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-503.13
Realised
$6.78
Win rate
86%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 9?
3694 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February 10?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 10?
1300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 10?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 10?
1300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on February 10?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 10?
1291 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 10?
1120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 10?
1120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 10?
1120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$25.00Feb 22, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$11.25Feb 19, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$11.17Feb 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.08Feb 19, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.23Feb 19, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$24.99Feb 19, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$25.00Feb 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$6.72Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.53Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$3.60Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.50Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.41Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.74Feb 19, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$10.15Feb 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.10Feb 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11.25Feb 19, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.30Feb 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.25Feb 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.70Feb 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.65Feb 19, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.