Muted-Trouble
0xb3f152164cbeefdadf3d7f17b114cd66578cfb04
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.52
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84 shares @ 11.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.52
$-2.14
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2248 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.66Mar 16, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$9.16Mar 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$8.70Feb 2, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.00Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 2, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.00Jan 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03Jan 6, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.08Dec 16, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.02Dec 8, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.02Dec 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.03Dec 2, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.00Nov 24, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$103.00Nov 17, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$25.50Nov 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$26.00Nov 17, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $265.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".