Adored-Family
0xb3f468a898ca15e86dc56f39b4b5de3e58785e60
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$148.00
Total PnL
$-14.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$50.00
$14.50
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$50.00
$5.50
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?
28 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$28.00
$9.80
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$20.00
$7.00
- NO
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?$18.20Dec 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$44.50Dec 27, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAzerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?$51.00Dec 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$12.06Dec 27, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$13.00Dec 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$23.44Dec 27, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMColts vs. Texans$51.19Oct 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Texans$30.20Sep 6, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris lead by 1.1-1.5 points on August 16?$0.00Sep 6, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?$0.00Sep 6, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "MAGA" during Michigan town hall?$37.04Sep 6, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "MAGA" during Michigan town hall?$33.11Aug 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead by 1.1-1.5 points on August 16?$20.00Aug 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?$23.73Jul 29, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win?$0.00Jul 29, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$51.67Jul 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2024 Euros?$31.00Jul 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win?$31.00Jun 25, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $27.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".