Inferior-Workbench
0xb3f62624317283cb848f45ccfc12839e7bc4f335
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$-310.27
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
33412 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16774 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-972.90
- YES
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
10389 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
5682 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-964.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5560 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-556.00
- YES
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5489 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-979.94
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
2156 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-490.37
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1938 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1205 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-295.98
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$160.53Jul 20, 01:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.42Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$415.49Jul 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$396.60Jul 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$2.1KJul 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$489.69Jul 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$489.63Jul 19, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$496.77Jul 18, 17:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 15, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$501.74Jul 9, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $473.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.