Frequent-Travel-Masterpiece
0xb3f65ba29841fdf504670ad7118c1430a77821d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$19.84
Total PnL
$-35.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.48
$2.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.43
$-2.57
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?$5.17Jun 25, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?$5.23Jun 25, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?$5.21Jun 25, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?$5.17Jun 25, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?$2.38Jun 25, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?$18.28Jun 25, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 24, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?$1.05Jun 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$1.04Jun 24, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$1.04Jun 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?$5.18Jun 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?$5.17Jun 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?$1.03Jun 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?$1.04Jun 24, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 25?$1.05Jun 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?$1.03Jun 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?$1.04Jun 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?$1.05Jun 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.02Jun 24, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.61Jun 23, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.