Busy-Mallard
0xb3fa19d97c86955da681e60c914494f89055a81a
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-63.05
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9PM ET
533 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-176.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9PM ET
396 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-107.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
333 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
295 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-132.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
242 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
228 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
224 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
220 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-93.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
219 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-79.36
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.91Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.69Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.41Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.64Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.52Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.00Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.04Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.38May 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.01May 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.79May 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.05May 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.57May 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.46May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.20May 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.36May 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.57May 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.14May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.34May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.38May 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.65May 12, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.