Dirty-Station
0xb3fa5325e06f14099e9646192304ce7570134249
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$43.64
Total PnL
$-17.42
Realised
$-12.07
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.32
$0.42
- NO
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$7.30
$0.31
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
7 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$6.90
$0.30
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.69
$0.09
- NO
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.42
$0.40
- YES
Circle IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 78.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.38
$0.30
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.27
$0.35
- NO
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.24
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Apr 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$6.00Apr 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Apr 19, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$4.60Apr 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.60Apr 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$23.80Apr 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2025?$13.06Apr 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2025?$26.20Apr 18, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCircle IPO in 2025?$3.96Apr 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$25.00Apr 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.99Apr 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.60Apr 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$7.90Apr 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$6.31Apr 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.70Apr 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCircle IPO in 2025?$5.00Apr 7, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$7.00Apr 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$12.00Apr 7, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Celtics$0.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Islanders$0.00Apr 7, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $549.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.