Anchored-Cherry
0xb410255a64fd72acdb7e57b8f65999865a017736
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$4.5K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
90%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1848 shares @ 82.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-313.30
- NO
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
719 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$691.98
$2.35
- NO
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
624 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$617.70
$17.88
- NO
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
620 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$599.23
$4.71
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
1169 shares @ 23.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$432.70
$161.07
- NO
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
436 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$424.72
$-1.62
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?
664 shares @ 3.1¢·now 41.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$274.88
$254.13
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
204 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.43
$3.48
- NO
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
193 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.92
$0.19
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
197 shares @ 88.5¢·now 87.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.38
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$123.32Jul 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$20.72Jul 25, 18:09 UTC
- MERGEWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$35.58Jul 24, 19:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$37.13Jul 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$29.63Jul 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.46Jul 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$48.61Jul 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$68.76Jul 23, 15:11 UTC
- MERGEWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?$62.00Jul 22, 11:56 UTC
- MERGEWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?$62.00Jul 22, 11:56 UTC
- MERGEWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?$62.00Jul 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?$48.95Jul 22, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?$40.25Jul 22, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?$36.56Jul 22, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?$56.02Jul 22, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$90.81Jul 22, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$138.70Jul 21, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$26.59Jul 21, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$0.00Jul 21, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?$0.00Jul 21, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
40 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $46.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.