Bustling-Cartoon
0xb4119278ce385787c189b9a597f25d88fb978a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$41.01
Total PnL
$-21.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jan 18, 2027$3.68
$2.68
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$2.50
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
16 shares @ 6.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.22
$2.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Jun 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?$1.05Jun 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?$1.00Jun 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$1.05Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? $1.00Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? $1.00Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$0.03Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$0.49Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$0.50Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$1.03Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$25.00Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.04Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.