Yellow-Smell
0xb412ad216509974ab66d3952368b9065ea6e6d63
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
4417 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
232 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Mistake" during Fed chair announcement?
224 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Financial World" during Fed chair announcement?
195 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Too late" during Fed chair announcement?
184 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?
176 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Very Respected" during Fed chair announcement?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Feb 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$8.00Feb 2, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.00Feb 2, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.50Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?$15.00Jan 30, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Financial World" during Fed chair announcement?$20.00Jan 30, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Very Respected" during Fed chair announcement?$10.00Jan 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mistake" during Fed chair announcement?$15.00Jan 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Too late" during Fed chair announcement?$15.00Jan 30, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".