Crowded-Midnight
0xb41ac4e8907de5460e2dac0a98df8d1530d33a25
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$177.31
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
34306 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-34.31
- YES
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?
13751 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-13.75
- YES
Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?
8085 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.08
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
7580 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.3K
- YES
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?
3285 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.28
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?
1064 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-964.19
- NO
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?
1000 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-733.50
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?
500 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-253.40
- YES
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?
455 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-250.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.0KMay 4, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$6.94May 3, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$998.06May 3, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$12.5KMay 2, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$7.3KApr 26, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$498.00Apr 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$498.00Apr 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$8.53Apr 26, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$505.13Apr 26, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.0KApr 26, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$724.14Apr 26, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$268.91Apr 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$268.91Apr 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.6KApr 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$24.90Apr 26, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$7.44Apr 26, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.2KApr 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.2KApr 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$23.19Apr 26, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$9.63Apr 26, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".