0xb42487e8f37a08743e7ae96b41521c09a709cef8
0xb42487e8f37a08743e7ae96b41521c09a709cef8
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.80
Total PnL
$-20.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
6 shares @ 34.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2021$5.87
$3.87
- YES
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
21 shares @ 23.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$0.93
$-4.07
- YES
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022?
55 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $19 billion on January 9?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $3,800 on January 12, 12pm ET?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2021$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2021$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.