Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-10.0K

Realised

$-195.16

Win rate

25%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 34

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
3337 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-780.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
3290 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.7K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
2055 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
2034 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-793.45
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
2023 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-222.55
UNDER
Rhode Island Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 144.5
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-999.27
YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?
1500 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026
$0.00
$-223.63
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
1205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-12.05
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
1181 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-601.43
YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 8–10 million views on day 1?
1149 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-63.84

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.83Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.10Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.10Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.05Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.15Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$2.64Feb 28, 00:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$8.57Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.55Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.12Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$55.00Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.46Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.39Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.46Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.50Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.54Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.10Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.49Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.57Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$17.30Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.12Feb 27, 03:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry74 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $2.96
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 27, 03:13 UTC
Last active: Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:42:26 UTC·src:Polymarket Data