Inexperienced-Camp
0xb4283caec438448479a0a2e15f2b650734e60857
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$13.29
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.98
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on December 13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- RYBAKINA
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Antonia Ruzic
553 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-519.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?$7.32May 24, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?$7.30May 24, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?$6.52May 23, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$6.51May 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$5.62May 17, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$5.65May 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$5.21May 14, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$5.21May 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$4.91May 11, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?$4.82May 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?$4.02May 10, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev$4.12May 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev$4.26May 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic$5.05May 8, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 17, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.42Mar 17, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Antonia Ruzic$519.64Feb 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Jaqueline Cristian$519.64Feb 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Jaqueline Cristian$512.46Feb 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Janice Tjen vs Amanda Anisimova$512.46Feb 18, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $127.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".