Naive-Detective
0xb43458f7b7876aa612139aa6a68a6e590511e463
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
61230 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-39.2K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37141 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-14.3K
- YES
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
3000 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
2272 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-999.68
- WASHINGTON
Washington vs. Oregon
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.00Mar 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington vs. Oregon$10.00Dec 1, 01:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Nov 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.0KNov 5, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.0KNov 4, 22:23 UTC
- REWARD$21.47Nov 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$999.68Nov 3, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.0KNov 1, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.3KOct 29, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$193.38Oct 29, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$1.63Oct 28, 16:53 UTC
- REWARD$3.44Oct 28, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.0KOct 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.27Oct 27, 14:20 UTC
- REWARD$2.73Oct 27, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Oct 26, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.97Oct 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.0KOct 22, 22:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Oct 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.6KOct 21, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".