Inconsequential-Optimization
0xb436d7c8f9fb7bd61ab06e47d708d0df291a8258
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-850.92
Realised
$-338.78
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?
4323 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
889 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-67.87
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election?
398 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
281 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-106.94
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
230 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.97
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
77 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-36.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$36.87Nov 29, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$19.97Nov 29, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?$0.20Mar 1, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?$122.82Feb 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$11.99Feb 23, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$17.84Feb 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$18.65Feb 23, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$20.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".