Aged-Amazement
0xb43bd1e3de840d1572ce88aec1aad207d667fa32
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.58
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
376 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$-184.61
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
13881 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-425.70
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
8243 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
1890 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-250.11
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba nex
985 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
861 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
729 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
658 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$188.19Mar 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$188.18Mar 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$137.93Feb 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$137.93Feb 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$137.93Feb 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$69.17Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$68.77Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.3KJan 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1.3KJan 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$399.31Jan 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 14, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$500.00Jan 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$40.00Jan 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$14.74Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$14.74Jan 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$35.74Jan 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$35.74Jan 12, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$34.37Jan 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$10.00Jan 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 11, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $126.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.