Gray-Symbol
0xb43e392633a0e49bf469a95bc9868f7835b8479f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$116.11
Total PnL
$-196.16
Realised
$138.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
232230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$116.11
$-116.11
- YES
Claude 4.7 released by March 15?
1409 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
1072 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-52.51
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
700 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
177 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.37
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
142 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
138 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$239.19Jun 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by March 15?$33.00Mar 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$33.33Mar 12, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.55Mar 1, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$275.00Feb 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$276.55Feb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$5.46Feb 26, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$2.00Feb 26, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$59.14Feb 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$150.00Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$70.00Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$106.94Jan 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$110.88Jan 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$49.50Jan 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$7.40Jan 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$100.00Jan 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$107.41Jan 10, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $59.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.