Complicated-Commander
0xb44bcd08826911502aaee2e1ebf4f294d2b91c51
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$62.45
Total PnL
$-133.33
Realised
$-15.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
62 shares @ 52.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$62.45
$29.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8PM ET
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7PM ET
120 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?
100 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
86 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ET
85 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
46 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
45 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$5.04Mar 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$5.12Mar 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$19.99Mar 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$20.00Mar 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$9.87Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$49.86Mar 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.10Mar 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.10Mar 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$36.66Mar 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$36.65Mar 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$7.58Mar 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$7.59Mar 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$3.78Mar 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$3.78Mar 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$1.95Mar 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$2.50Mar 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$4.44Mar 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$6.99Mar 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$0.83Mar 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$2.00Mar 14, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.