Plump-Reward
0xb44c8a5a5efb80a592c522a2518eca00ec44432c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.22
Total PnL
$-4.64
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.13
$0.10
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 26?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will exactly 57 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.74
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.69
- YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?$9.21Jun 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?$10.30Jun 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.03Jun 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 6?$5.97Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$1.00Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$1.04Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.08Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?$1.08Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.11Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 6?$7.00Jun 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$1.00May 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$6.18May 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.27May 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.02May 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$8.25May 21, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$9.30May 21, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?$9.24May 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?$10.33May 21, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on May 4?$1.00May 7, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$1.01May 7, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.