Lively-Arcade
0xb44d825336f692a9d87c648a404bd66f53af0cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-893.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10755 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-773.21
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
3326 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.77
- YANKEES
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner
154 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$99.77Feb 9, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Dec 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$240.59Nov 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$249.61Nov 3, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$24.81Oct 21, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$64.07Oct 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$38.12Oct 20, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.1KOct 10, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$526.07Oct 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner$1.21Oct 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner$19.74Oct 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.0KOct 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$627.21Sep 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$493.26Sep 17, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Sep 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$229.97Sep 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$9.00Sep 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$41.00Sep 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$174.82Jun 24, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$299.78Jun 23, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $305.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".