Fumbling-Rethinking
0xb44e078d30bc85ca08be001607969b8737ba681a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.2K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
12118 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 5?
6500 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?
2514 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1879 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-610.66
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?
1414 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-778.88
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 15?
1375 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-760.66
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
1220 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-329.28
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?
1102 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-267.67
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 23?
1015 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-251.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?$5.00May 9, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?$50.00May 9, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$640.50May 9, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$100.40May 6, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$93.42May 6, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$91.44May 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$98.86May 6, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?$2.50May 6, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$83.98May 6, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$82.49May 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?$50.96May 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?$128.45May 6, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?$113.91May 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?$110.19May 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 6?$41.28May 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?$36.89May 6, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6?$33.59May 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 5?$26.50May 5, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?$27.00May 5, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?$9.98May 5, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $97.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.