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0xb45578a307919f0def8287f22547e7c487dd03de
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-219.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1136 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-484.01
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
1121 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
612 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
344 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
319 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
153 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$314.01Nov 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$20.00Nov 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$20.00Nov 4, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 4, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$20.00Nov 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$20.00Nov 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?$15.00Nov 4, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?$30.00Nov 4, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$20.00Nov 4, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$40.00Nov 4, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 30, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$10.00Oct 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Kupp get traded before the deadline?$20.00Oct 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$50.00Oct 23, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$150.00Oct 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$20.00Oct 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Oct 16, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$427.13Oct 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$222.93Aug 6, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $59.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.