Perky-Position
0xb455c1f31c28cb5515806b82e2df1dee32260bb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.40
Total PnL
$-8.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 3?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$17.60Jul 10, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$87.58Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?$87.41Jun 15, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$87.49Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$87.40Jun 7, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$87.39Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$87.30May 30, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$87.29May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$87.21May 25, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$87.19May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$87.11May 21, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$87.09May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$87.00May 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.22May 14, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$89.09May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$89.00May 11, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$89.19May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$89.11May 8, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$2.31May 8, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$91.39May 1, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $69.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.