Loving-Pusher
0xb4572213d6eca035f4d7a66eeb7262bb0f039944
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.35
Total PnL
$-12.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$0.30
- YES
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.27
$0.17
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.23
$0.13
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.07
$-0.03
- YES
Will Ian Happ lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$0.06
$-0.04
- YES
Will Justin Crawford win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.06
$-0.04
- YES
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.04
$-0.06
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.06
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.06
- YES
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?$5.00Jun 23, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?$5.00Jun 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?$0.04Jun 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 23?$0.05Jun 21, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?$0.01Jun 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?$0.04Jun 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?$0.01Jun 21, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 22?$0.05Jun 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?$0.05Jun 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?$0.01Jun 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?$0.05Jun 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 22?$0.05Jun 21, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?$0.01Jun 21, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.