Adorable-Gentleman
0xb45ac19db5341412e4a081b469558990c330f218
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-22.54
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on July 24?
2889 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 24?
1663 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 24?
1400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 22?
1278 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 23?
1087 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?
869 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?
770 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-52.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 21?
721 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?
529 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?
522 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$0.94Aug 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$3.06Aug 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner$4.00Aug 6, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.00Aug 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.85Aug 6, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$0.95Aug 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$3.04Aug 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winner$4.00Aug 6, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 26, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.76Jul 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.32Jul 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.07Jul 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.07Jul 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?$0.16Jul 26, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?$1.20Jul 25, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?$1.45Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?$0.61Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?$0.80Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?$0.08Jul 25, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.