Fair-Puzzle
0xb461fa984cf1fec9f3364b94176c01c7285355ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-335.57
Realised
$-8.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
50989 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-219.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
8731 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-32.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1171 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
472 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$4.83May 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.16May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.34May 29, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.81Mar 12, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$6.04Mar 12, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$25.65Mar 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$74.63Mar 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$200.00Mar 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$50.00Mar 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$200.00Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$20.00Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$49.45Mar 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$17.60Mar 11, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.40Mar 11, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$192.63Mar 11, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$10.00Mar 11, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $66.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.