Studious-Balloonist
0xb463f7ff456976975bd0281614a1bb24634c9938
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$17.54
Total PnL
$-61.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.43
$3.43
- YES
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
133 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Starmer out in 2025?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Spain snap election called in 2025?
27 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 26, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.40Oct 26, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 24, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.32Oct 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$1.00Oct 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Series Winner$1.00Oct 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2025 MLB World Series have between 13 million and 15 million viewers$1.00Oct 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Oct 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by October 31?$1.00Oct 23, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Gaza by October 31?$1.06Oct 23, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$1.45Oct 23, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 45+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$2.11Oct 23, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Oct 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Oct 20, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 20, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$1.00Oct 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Gaza by October 31?$1.00Oct 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 45+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$2.00Oct 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$7.70Oct 20, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?$1.00Oct 4, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.