Unruly-Vol
0xb46c0c54698c3ca0e7d32a4be5bee5b046370bbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.26
Realised
$255.59
Win rate
100%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
21855 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-196.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
747 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-162.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
403 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?
300 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?
263 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
226 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.04Jul 28, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.05Jul 27, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.35Jul 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.05Jul 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Jul 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.24Jul 25, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.05Jul 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$3.19Jul 24, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.05Jul 24, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.04Jul 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.05Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.06Jul 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$3.59Jul 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.56Jul 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.06Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.28Jul 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.06Jul 22, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.05Jul 22, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.07Jul 22, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.