0xb46cf1de5abecb8b74885b373f024bd95295c34d
0xb46cf1de5abecb8b74885b373f024bd95295c34d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-109.26
Realised
$-20.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$575.10
$1.50
- YES
Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?
280 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$278.46
$12.46
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
200 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$197.71
$1.70
- NO
Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$89.00
$0.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$72.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$58.50
$-14.50
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
56 shares @ 72.2¢·now 73.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.05
$0.56
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
33 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$25.39
$1.16
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
7 shares @ 88.6¢·now 90.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.72
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?$89.00Jul 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$73.00Jul 14, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?$95.60Jul 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?$191.20Jul 14, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?$286.80Jul 14, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$417.24Jul 14, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$54.26Jul 14, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.08Jul 14, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$196.00Jul 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$40.49Jul 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$96.20Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$96.10Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?$88.00Jul 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$92.70Jul 14, 05:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.34Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.83Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$0.74Jul 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$143.66Jul 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$6.01Jul 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$95.30Jul 13, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $133.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.