Narrow-Pollution
0xb46e7f10f91f8257572d6a122fabcfcf2f208198
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$133.40
Total PnL
$-26.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.64
$5.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$22.22
$2.22
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$20.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
24 shares @ 83.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 16?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of April 13 2026?$20.80Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?$20.83Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$20.00Apr 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?$20.00Apr 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?$20.00Apr 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.00Apr 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$8.55Apr 16, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on April 15?$21.65Apr 16, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on April 15?$20.00Apr 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$20.00Apr 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of April 13 2026?$20.00Apr 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$20.00Apr 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Apr 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$20.00Apr 14, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.26Apr 14, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$21.74Apr 14, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?$21.21Mar 20, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?$22.22Mar 20, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.