Crowded-Intensity
0xb4746cffdc57992bfc99e2d527b7188cd88da704
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
400000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
24753 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14158 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?
10363 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
10025 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$1.5KNov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$3.33Nov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$2.5KNov 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$3.21Nov 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$712.50Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$60.00Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$150.00Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$214.29Nov 6, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$60.00Nov 6, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 2, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$5.0KNov 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$5.0KNov 2, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.0KOct 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?$1.0KSep 20, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$7.0KSep 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEM$BTC dips below $45k before August?$0.00Sep 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$0.00Sep 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Sep 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Sep 3, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".