Cultured-Switch
0xb47d1fe7f05f8adc7d24f38c500d0b5cf2521707
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.4K
Realised
$-60.7K
Win rate
0%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
5416 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
4100 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-969.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
3952 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
3828 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
3799 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
3777 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
3732 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
3575 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
3482 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
3422 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$119.03Jul 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$25.84Jul 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$41.53Jul 18, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$173.37Jul 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$10.17Jul 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$49.34Jul 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$8.53Jul 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$13.12Jul 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$15.04Jul 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$3.76Jul 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$3.42Jul 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$9.39Jul 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$7.26Jul 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$28.98Jul 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3.62Jul 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$14.39Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.17Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$10.44Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.96Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$8.76Jul 18, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
196 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.