Easy-Going-Armadillo
0xb47e879bb07d0541b8f277957df33f9a1d09c824
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.47
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$44.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Vanta IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$0.54
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.12
- YES
Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
907 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-117.91
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
902 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-432.96
- YES
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
682 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.02
- NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
593 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-373.65
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
586 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-199.24
- NO
Will Trump say "Heritage" or "Culture" during Taoiseach events?
322 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.82
- NO
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
174 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-125.28
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
154 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-63.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$159.53Apr 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.88Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$136.74Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$289.05Apr 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 75 by April 30?$289.12Mar 30, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 75 by April 30?$66.72Mar 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?$34.22Mar 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?$32.00Mar 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?$84.87Mar 24, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$5.30Mar 24, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$8.48Mar 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$11.66Mar 24, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$5.20Mar 24, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$17.76Mar 24, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$36.15Mar 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$50.32Mar 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$45.89Mar 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? $96.96Mar 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? $622.16Mar 20, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $171.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.