Sparkling-Gunpowder
0xb47fa81500643b482f4c7ac71ec6ae10b19cd827
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$55.08
Total PnL
$7.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$29.85
$9.85
- YES
Will Florian Lipowitz finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
25 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$25.22
$12.86
- NO
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Lipowitz finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?$12.36Jul 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?$20.00Jul 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$0.00Jun 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers retire?$0.00Jun 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers retire?$0.00Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$0.00Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.00Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$25.00May 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers retire?$5.00May 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?$15.00May 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$5.00May 6, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2025?$15.00May 6, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$10.00May 6, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $13.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".