Arid-Contingency
0xb4812660818b2e575d1c8ae1c0d74fbe04b635b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.20
Total PnL
$-42.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 10?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$15.20
$0.03
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 10?$15.17Apr 10, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 9?$14.77Apr 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 9?$14.74Apr 9, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 7?$11.59Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 3?$11.78Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8?$13.55Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8?$13.52Apr 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 7?$11.58Apr 7, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on April 3?$11.77Apr 3, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1?$12.30Apr 3, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 2?$15.40Apr 3, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 2?$15.38Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1?$12.29Apr 1, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 30?$10.68Apr 1, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 31?$15.50Apr 1, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 31?$15.48Mar 31, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 30?$10.67Mar 30, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?$13.69Mar 30, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?$13.68Mar 27, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?$14.34Mar 27, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".