0xb482a232a7a07afa88628af055b317e09975fbc7
0xb482a232a7a07afa88628af055b317e09975fbc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$93.58
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-100.43
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1800 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.58
$52.49
- NO
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
1759 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
1143 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-236.14
- YES
Will Liechtenstein vs. Belgium end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
557 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
478 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
433 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
381 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- NO
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?
347 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-85.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.