Sad-Instrument
0xb48ea26e3fcd134c2697a30eacacd1871285d489
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$95.89
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
525 shares @ 47.6¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$95.89
$-154.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
9700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
9700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?
8983 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4930 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-95.36
- YES
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
4909 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4390 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-84.99
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$160.30Jun 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$332.99Jun 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$526.06Jun 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$96.99Jun 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$51.27Jun 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$147.11Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$153.06Jun 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$51.35Jun 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$97.67Jun 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$219.76Jun 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$489.69Jun 11, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$824.75Jun 11, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$51.41Jun 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$253.67Jun 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$509.80Jun 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$263.82Jun 9, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$1.1KJun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$495.11Jun 6, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$253.93Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5$293.81Jun 4, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $197.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.