Sweltering-Tragedy
0xb48efb5dce2b6bd85610b63b33e0c941d25123b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.60
Total PnL
$-51.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
11 shares @ 90.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.06
$1.06
- NO
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-4.80
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$3.19Feb 1, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$3.00Jan 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$5.00Jan 19, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$10.00Jan 19, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$12.20Jan 19, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$3.30Jan 3, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$3.30Jan 3, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$4.35Jan 3, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announce run for 3rd term?$5.38Jan 3, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?$6.67Jan 3, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$4.76Dec 14, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$7.14Dec 14, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$11.43Dec 14, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?$4.44Nov 23, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$7.81Nov 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$5.00Nov 9, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$5.04Nov 9, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$4.00Nov 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?$4.00Nov 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$5.00Nov 9, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.