Red-Panic
0xb4903f5439b7c3d7592a89b680231035a0db3933
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$17.55
Total PnL
$-144.74
Realised
$16.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.52
$-0.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
130 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
104 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
97 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.18May 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.45May 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.07May 15, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.07May 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.22May 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$7.78Apr 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$8.26Apr 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.72Apr 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$3.61Mar 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$10.00Mar 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".