Respectful-Altitude
0xb4a0f89d213e065ccafc8b68d3c964e091ab9d29
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-318.60
Realised
$-11.70
Win rate
51%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 9?
273 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 9?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 25?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on July 1?
189 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?
172 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?
164 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 5?
157 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 13?
150 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on June 7?
136 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?
134 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.81
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
51% win rate over 96 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
96 closed markets, 51% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.