0xb4b49102fd4bc5feeb185db70ee1098a6650c8c9
0xb4b49102fd4bc5feeb185db70ee1098a6650c8c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$14.10
Total PnL
$-49.82
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
0%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UNDER 2.5
Taylor Fritz vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$3.27
$0.07
- YES
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.02
$-0.03
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$2.77
$-0.07
- PETR NESTEROV
Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$2.52
$-0.17
- NO
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
5 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- FLUXO W7M
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- OVER
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
5 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$2.51Aug 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery$2.71Aug 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$2.86Aug 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Fritz vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5$3.22Aug 18, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova$5.00Aug 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMClub Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score$5.00Aug 18, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$5.00Aug 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli$2.66Aug 17, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.00Aug 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$1.56Aug 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$3.07Aug 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova$2.76Aug 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score$2.96Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$3.07Aug 17, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-16?$5.00Aug 16, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSchalke 04 vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5$5.00Aug 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?$2.76Aug 16, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.04Aug 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-16?$3.02Aug 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Score$2.76Aug 16, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.