Dutiful-Referendum
0xb4b63e8bae9df745964badb9cf71b541d4568250
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Ethereum above 2,105 on May 19, 3PM ET?
110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 2,105 on May 19, 3PM ET?$4.70May 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$7.00May 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$7.00May 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$30.00May 7, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$39.97May 7, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$21.08May 6, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$15.53May 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.59May 6, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$4.66May 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.62May 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$3.62May 6, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.69May 6, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$0.00May 6, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$11.94May 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$8.00May 6, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$13.59May 6, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$6.00May 6, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$3.62May 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$0.25May 6, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$19.75May 6, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $25.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".