Warmhearted-Lookout
0xb4c047b6f7add5fb39a36c387f30aa955f530721
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-12.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
201 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-1.40
- YES
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
1139 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
630 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will FL Studio Mobile be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
235 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
218 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
218 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$20.64Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$3.83Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$1.00Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$7.02Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?$4.43Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$9.92Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.52Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.31Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00May 31, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$99.70May 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.40May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$9.90May 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.94May 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$1.00May 30, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$99.51May 30, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.32May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$3.82May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?$2.71May 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$5.76May 30, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?$3.22May 30, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".